NVIDIA Corporation

Captures ~90% of AI accelerator spend. Most leveraged single name to hyperscaler capex — both up and down. Score is high because the cascade fit is high; resilience is LOW because a capex pause hits NVDA harder than any other name. The platform's role here is to flag NVDA as 'priced for perfection' rather than a buy. 1999 Cisco parallel: revenue compounded for years before stalling, but the eventual revaluation was 80%+.

Most exposed name in the universe to a Taiwan event. Single-foundry dependency on TSMC for leading-edge chips. NVDA derates 40%+ if a blockade triggers — but the fundamental product remains valuable. Entry on a trigger event would be asymmetric — but timing is impossible.