COPPER · NYSE
Copper at ~$6/lb. Hormuz cut ~40k tonnes cathode/month. Defence + AI + electrification demand stacking. Grasberg restart is the risk.
Freeport-McMoRan. Copper for the $1tn US grid expansion needed to power AI datacentres. Datacentres are copper-intensive (substations, transmission, cooling systems). Thesis holds even in a capex pause because the grid build is already permitted and underway.
Copper for Ukraine reconstruction grid + Eastern European defence buildup. Different angle from AI Capex thesis (which is about US datacentre grid). Compounds with that thesis — both rely on copper supply remaining tight.
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